Take secret arbitration, where foreign investors sue countries, out of trade agreements, and settle such disputes in open courts instead
In short
- Countries stop putting secret arbitration, where foreign companies sue a country, into new agreements.
- Countries also talk with their partners to remove this system from agreements that already exist.
- Disputes go to open courts, and the reasons for each decision can be read by anyone.
- Payment covers only the money a company actually put in, not the profits it expected to make.
- Rules that protect health and the environment and treat local and foreign firms alike cannot be challenged.
If this comes true
A local environmental officer who refused to let a gold mine expand, to protect the mountain that feeds the water supply, is not afraid of a huge claim from a foreign company, and heads out again the next morning to test the water in the village well.
Perhaps
An investor who wanted to build a power plant in a small country short of roads and electricity might pull out because the court's outcome is hard to predict, and light might reach villages years later than it otherwise would.
Water so far 💧 0
The proposal in detail
This covers the system, found in the investment chapters of trade agreements and in two-country investment treaties, that lets a foreign investor sue the host country's government directly in international arbitration. Under this system, private arbitrators chosen by the parties hear the case in secret, and there is almost no way to appeal. The proposal first makes it a principle for every country not to include this clause in newly signed agreements. For existing agreements, countries agree with their partners to delete the clause, and also cancel the clauses that keep protection going for many years after an agreement ends. Disputes with foreign investors are first handled in the host country's own courts. Only where there is clear injustice, such as being denied a trial or a ruling left unresolved without reason, would the investor's home government take it up as a dispute between countries, or it would go to a permanent international investment court that countries build together. The judges of this court are appointed to fixed terms as public servants, are barred from working as lawyers on the side, hold hearings and give rulings in public, have levels of appeal, and let affected residents and groups submit written opinions. Compensation is limited to the money actually invested and the value of assets lost through discriminatory seizure, and does not include expected future profits. Public health, environmental, labor and tax rules that make no distinction between domestic and foreign companies cannot be challenged, even if they reduce an investor's profits. Investors cover investment risks themselves with public or private political risk insurance.
BenefitsDecisions that protect lives and the environment are freed from threats of compensation
Governments can decide through democratic processes, without fearing huge claims, on things like phasing out fossil fuels to stop climate change or limiting advertising to protect children's health. Without compensation for expected profits, a single regulation can no longer shake a country's finances, and money that should go to schools and hospitals is protected. Foreign and domestic companies alike follow the same courts and the same law, ending the unfairness in which justice is treated differently depending on where the money comes from. Even when the permanent international court is used, judges with fixed terms give reasons in public and appeals are possible, so rulings become more consistent and easier to predict. Because residents can submit opinions, the voices of people living near mines and factories reach the hearing. Above all, when the benefits of trade clash with a country's right to decide for itself, the power to decide returns to those chosen in elections. That eases the suspicion that free trade is a system for a few owners of capital, and makes it easier to keep support for an open economy where goods and technology move freely over the long term.
DrawbacksCountries with weak courts pay the price as investment moves away
Relying on domestic courts means practically no protection for foreign investors in countries where judges cannot stand up to the government or where a ruling takes ten years. Investments such as factories, power plants and roads, which take decades to pay back, make investors worry more about a change of government and a one-sided seizure. Investors will demand insurance costs or high returns, or avoid the country altogether. The poorest countries, which most need funds and whose court systems are least reliable, are the most likely to lose investment that brings jobs, electricity and water, and could feel the pain of this proposal first. The path of taking a case to a dispute between countries may help big companies from powerful countries whose governments will act for them, but small firms from small countries are hardly taken seriously, and disputes may become political, used as bargaining chips in diplomacy. The permanent international court is a fine idea, but it will take many years for countries to agree on it and actually run it, and during that time there will be a gap in protection. The record of protecting legitimate investors from unjust seizure will also surely be lost.
Learn the background
Free trade has promised to make lives richer by letting goods and money move across borders, but inside that promise a special court that only foreign investors can use has been built in. If an investor thinks a government's new rule has cut its profits, it can bring a case in international arbitration without going through the country's own courts. Arbitrators are private lawyers chosen case by case, and they may act as a company's lawyer in other cases, and much of the hearing is not made public. Decisions meant to protect people's lives and livelihoods, such as rules on cigarette packaging, phasing out coal and oil, environmental standards for mines, and raising the minimum wage, have been challenged, and compensation including expected profits has been ordered, at times in amounts comparable to a country's health budget. Even when no case has been filed, some countries weaken or put off regulations for fear of being sued. Countries with small budgets especially carry this burden. Local companies and residents have no such path, and a situation in which only foreign capital gets higher treatment is spreading distrust of free trade itself.
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This proposal was written in Japanese by AI (claude-opus-5-5, policy version 2026-10-20b) and translated by AI (claude-sonnet-5-5). Nobody has checked the facts. Read the original (日本語) How the AI writes